Blog (archive)

Portfolio Evaluation for Passive Investors: Eleven Simple Rules

We list eleven simple basic rules for portfolio evaluation and benchmarking for passive investors.

From rich to poor happens more often than you think

We show why rich and super-rich families often become poor again within one to three generations.

Precious metals as an admixture – does that make sense?

In this blog post we show how well the four precious metals gold, silver, platinum and palladium can be added to a stock portfolio.
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“Homeowners are wealthier than renters in old age” – lies with statistics

In this blog post we show why the oft-heard statement is not true.

Financial forecasts – why they do more harm than good to investors

In this blog post, we explore why prediction-based investing is practiced even though it works poorly.

Can stock prices rise forever?

In this blog post we answer the question of whether stock prices can “rise forever”.
Detail of a German Monopoly game with a house on Schlossallee.

Toxic beliefs that sabotage your financial success

In this blog post we describe beliefs that hinder people from creating wealth.
Detached house with a red tiled roof and a yellow facade behind a stone fence with white bars.

Renting or buying – which is more financially attractive?

In this blog post we calculate whether buying an owner-occupied property or renting it has been more profitable over the last 55 years.
Savings bank advisor rubs his hands in front of a burning pile of banknotes.

How banks withdraw customers – a case study

Hidden fees, questionable products and lots of conflicts of interest - the business model of the savings banks.
Bronze statue of the Charging Bull on Wall Street with tourists in the background.

The resilience of the global stock market

In this blog post we analyze the resilience of the global stock market over the 125 years from 1900 to the present.
Woman looking at two paintings in a museum.

Art: An attractive form of investment?

In this article we show how art brokers distort the returns on art upwards and the risk downwards.
Round traffic sign with the inscription “Customs/Douane” against a blue sky and autumn trees.

The “customs war crash”: what to do?

This article is about the decline in prices on the stock markets since the beginning of 2025 and how investors should deal with it.
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Banking risk in bond funds: A cluster risk that almost everyone overlooks

In this article we look at an unrecognized concentration risk in bond ETFs that many have in their portfolio without knowing it.
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“Investing is easy” – fairytale hour with finfluencers

Financial journalists and finfluencers often claim that investing is essentially easy. We show why this is nonsense.
Laptop screen shows price fluctuations of a stock market chart with a green line over the course of the day.

“Buy the Dip” – How well does this investment strategy work?

In this post, we analyze the buy the dip investment strategy using historical numbers.
Crumpled 10 and 20 euro banknotes lie on a rough asphalt floor.

The “Cash Drag Problem” in Private Equity Returns

In this article we show how the private equity industry exaggerates the returns it achieves.
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The credit leverage myth in real estate

In this blog post we show that the credit leverage effect in the real estate industry is often presented in a manipulatively positive manner for marketing reasons.
Historic Commerzbank building with dome and lettering.

Why you can't build wealth with interest-bearing bank deposits

In this article we show that and why you cannot build long-term wealth with interest-bearing bank deposits.
Senior couple sitting relaxed in the garden in front of a house with a solar system in sunny weather.

“Home retirement” – a bad idea

In this article we show why the concept of “home retirement” is a bad idea in most cases.
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The short life expectancy of companies

In this article we analyze the importance of the short life expectancy of companies for private investors.
Close-up of a computer chip labeled "AI" on a circuit board.

Is artificial intelligence a game changer in investing?

In this article we analyze the question of whether and how artificial intelligence will change the world of investing.
Close-up of shiny 100g fine gold bars embossed with “999.9”.

The gold standard: an engine for more economic growth?

In this article we test the claim that the historical gold standard had economic benefits.
Hand pointing at tablet with NASDAQ chart; next to it smartphone with Dow Jones and price data.

Is the Nasdaq 100 stock index better than the MSCI World?

In this post, we address the claim that Nasdaq 100 ETFs are particularly good investments.
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“Safe Asset Floor Rebalancing”: An alternative rebalancing approach

In this article we present an alternative rebalancing method for passive investors.
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Via Negativa – an unknown concept for more success when investing

In this article, we look at a strategy element that is central to successful investing and that receives too little attention.
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Bonds as an asset class: From the basics to specialist knowledge

This article is a brief introduction to the bond asset class (government and corporate bonds) from the perspective of private investors.
Candlestick chart with falling price trend and multiple moving averages on black background.

GameStop Effect: Is It Smart to Bet Against Short Sellers?

In this article, we'll show you why it's unwise to buy or hold stocks that are heavily shorted by hedge funds.
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Investing in IPOs – a losing bet

In this article we explain why IPO stocks are usually unattractive investments.
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Money market funds – the smart alternative to overnight money

In this article we explain the benefits of money market funds as an alternative to overnight money.
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Gerd Kommer’s global portfolio – invest confidently with ETFs

What does Dr.'s world portfolio concept actually mean? Gerd Kommer and what does a global portfolio actually look like?
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Indexing 101 (English version)

English version of our blog post "Passive investing – the basics", which is a primer in passive investing with ETFs.
Lettering “Gerd Kommer ETF” with a stylized globe on the right of the picture on a light background.

Gerd Kommer's ETF

In this article we describe the structure and objectives of the L&G Gerd Kommer Multifactor Equity UCITS ETF.
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“Inflation helps me as a borrower” – keep dreaming!

This article will show that the well-known thesis “inflation is good for borrowers” ​​is not true.
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Increases in the value of residential real estate – dream and reality

In this article we show that the long-term increases in the value of residential properties are lower than is often assumed.
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Emerging market stocks – are they still sensible investments?

In this article we show why emerging market stocks are still worthwhile investments despite weak returns in recent years.
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Does economic knowledge help when investing?

In this article, we address the question of which specific forms of “economic knowledge” actually help with investing and which do not.
A man and a woman sit distantly on a sofa and turn their wedding rings.

Marriage and divorce from a financial perspective

In this article we look at the “economics” of marriage and divorce.
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The legend of passive investing's high market share

We show that the market share of passive investing or indexing is often overstated.
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Buy or rent? – Home vs. global portfolio

From a rational point of view, we deal with the crucial question of retirement provision: Buy or rent?
Illustration of a man trying to move heavy blocks with a lever bar.

Leveraging stock investments with credit – does it work?

We show that leverage when investing does more harm than good and give concrete advice on how a stock portfolio could be leveraged.
Black and white photograph from circa 1920 showing a group of men and boys looking at a damaged car with a bent front wheel.

The Truth About the Stock Crash of 1929

We show that the stock market crash beginning in 1929 was less severe than often assumed.
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Investing passively – the basics

This blog post is a brief introduction to passive investing with index funds and ETFs.
Close-up of eyes wide open with fearful look.

Inflation-indexed bonds – how well do they protect against inflation?

In this blog post we look at the question of how attractive inflation-linked bonds are.
Woman with yellow rain jacket and red umbrella looks skeptical, against orange background.

Downside hedging – the holy grail of investing?

In this blog post we address the controversial topic of downside hedging of stock portfolios.
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Bonds and interest rate changes – a case study

We use specific ETFs to show how interest rate increases affect the bonds asset class.
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Endowment funds from Harvard, Yale & Co: Is their return also elitist?

In this blog post, we look at the returns of the endowment funds of elite US universities such as Harvard and Yale.
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Avoid capital consumption: Not a desirable investor goal

In this blog post we look at the contradictory investment goal of “avoiding capital consumption”.
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What does the Russia-Ukraine war mean for my portfolio?

How should private investors with a passive investment approach react to the war in Ukraine?
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“Equilibrium Accounting” – a smart thinking concept for investors

In this article we look at equilibrium accounting and show how private investors can use this piece of investment logic for themselves.
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Open real estate funds – illusion and reality

Open real estate funds are considered investments with solid returns and little risk. But appearances are deceiving. We show why.
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Rebalancing: advantages, methods, principles

In this article we look at the benefits, methods and principles of rebalancing.
A large, partly submerged ship with rusty structures rises from the sea, with a coastal landscape in the background.

The misery of flagship fund investors

We look at the weak returns of six large and popular flagship investment funds in Germany.
Gold coins, wooden cubes with the word "TAXES", a pad and a calculator lie on a green table.

Save taxes through buy-and-hold

We address the “tax present value effect of buy-and-hold.” It can be used to achieve a surprisingly high tax advantage in the long term.
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Medallion, “the best fund of all time” – or not

We look at the performance of the famous US hedge fund Medallion, managed by James Simons.
A smiling child with curly hair waves at the camera while sitting in front of a bookshelf in a cozy room.

Why young investors should pray for the crash

We show that passive investors in the asset accumulation phase benefit financially from a stock crash.
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How the prophets of doom invest

In this article we look at four well-known German prophets of doom and their investment recommendations.
A hot air balloon is heated at night with a large flame while people work on it.

Asset price inflation in the context of inflation measurement and monetary policy

We consider arguments for and against adding an asset price component to consumer goods inflation.
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Maintenance costs – how to calculate real estate investments

In this article we look at the often underestimated level of maintenance costs in real estate investments.
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Private equity – desire and reality

In this article we show that the return-risk combination of private equity has been disappointing over the last 30 years.
Several 100 dollar bills arranged in a fan shape on a white envelope.

Ray Dalio's hedge fund - the paint is off

In this article we show that Ray Dalio's hedge fund has been underperforming a simple passive ETF benchmark for 16 years.
Snow-covered mountain peak with light cloud formation on the slopes.

The fear of the all-time high – a harmful mistake

We show that the “all-time high” metric fails in the stock market as an indicator of “expensive” and “highly valued.”
Oil pump in an arid landscape with dramatic golden sky at sunset.

Commodity investments – do they make sense?

Are raw materials suitable as an addition to a passive portfolio? We discuss this using historical data and factual arguments.
Two hikers in the forest, one helping the other climb with an outstretched hand, both with backpacks and equipment.

Securities lending with ETFs – is it dangerous?

The representations and assessments in the financial media regarding securities lending for ETFs often contain serious errors.
Small wooden house on a tropical beach surrounded by palm trees and green jungle, with turquoise sea in the foreground.

How do you become really rich?

We show that very few investors get rich with stocks, why stocks are still essential and what route to wealth remains.
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Do technology stocks have consistently higher returns?

Do technology stocks consistently provide higher returns than the overall stock market? In this article we show that this is not the case.
Shoe stepping on a brown speckled banana peel on a brown tiled floor symbolizes a dangerous situation.

Ten big investor mistakes

We highlight ten particularly serious investor mistakes and focus on those that are not “well-known”.
Luxury yacht sails on the open sea, accompanied by two jet skis.

The big difference between getting rich and staying rich

Different success factors apply to becoming rich and staying rich. We show which ones and why they differ greatly from each other.
Child jumps from a cliff into the blue sea.

Entry into the stock market: one-time investment or phased investment?

Should you invest a large sum of money in the stock market all at once or is it better to enter in several tranches over a longer period of time?
Green apple with water drops on shiny surface against white background.

The best stock in the world

Using Apple shares, one of the most profitable stocks in the world, we show how extremely risky individual investments are, even in “superstar stocks”.

The Pains of Factor Investing

A factor investing strategy can underperform a market-neutral portfolio for years. We show what conclusions should be drawn from this.
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The Corona crash: what to do?

In this article we look at the action-oriented implications that the current Corona crash has for private investors.
Building with the German flag on the roof against a dramatic cloudy sky at sunset.

Capital-forming life insurance – a German wrong turn

In this article we look at cash-value life insurance, its disadvantages and the reasons for its enormous popularity.
Concerned-looking man in a checkered shirt sits thoughtfully by the water with his hands on his head.

Ten reasons why active investing works poorly

In this article we describe ten arguments that together justify the superiority of passive over active investing.
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Negative interest rate differential transactions – harmful and unnecessary

In this article we look at the harmful effects of negative interest rate differentials.
Tablet displaying price trends on a black grid background.

The interest rate risk on bonds

In this article we look at the connection between interest rate changes and the price of bonds.
Close-up of shiny gold bars stacked in parallel orientation.

Gold as an investment – ​​do you need it?

In this article we look at gold as a possible addition to private investor portfolios.
Multi-story building with mansard roof, balconies and large windows under clear sky.

Are rental properties attractive investments?

In this article we examine the question of whether rental properties are an attractive investment for small private landlords in terms of returns and risks.
The word 'Costs' with an upward arrow is drawn in chalk on a school blackboard.

Performance fees – appearance and reality

In this article we look at the unpleasant effects of “performance fees” at banks, asset managers and actively managed investment funds.
Night view of an illuminated skyline.

The underestimated risk of bank deposits

In this article we look at the underestimated risk of bank deposits.
Salt workers scoop salt from a shallow pond at sunset.

Emerging market government bonds – an asset class worth considering?

In this article we look at the return-risk profile of the previously little-researched asset class of emerging market government bonds.
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Integrated multifactor investing

We show what options there are for implementing factor premiums in multifactor investing in an investor portfolio and which solution we prefer.
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Factor investing – the basics

We'll look at how factor investing works and explain what needs to be taken into account.
Magnifying glass on an old desk with historical documents.

The concept of “tangible assets”: facts and fantasies

We look at the alleged advantages of "tangible assets" over non-tangible assets and show that these advantages are largely based on misunderstandings.
Male hand marks appointments on a paper calendar with a pen.

Waiting for a cheaper stock market – does it work?

We are testing a market timing strategy that should make it possible to enter the stock market at cheaper prices.
Person takes money from an ATM; A 100 dollar bill is visible.

Depot withdrawals: myths and misunderstandings

In this article we clear up common misconceptions about how to organize distributions or withdrawals from a portfolio.
Waterfall cascading over stony rocks.

The concept of “cash flow cascade”

The concept of the “cash flow cascade” helps to understand perhaps the most fundamental driver of risk in the asset classes of stocks, bonds and real estate.
Historic library with ornate ceilings and bookcases.

The principle of “Sovereign Ceiling”

“Sovereign ceiling” states that corporate bonds must have a worse credit rating than bonds from their “home country”.
Card game in the casino with some chips in the background.

Monte Carlo simulation as a forecasting method

Monte Carlo simulation is a stochastic method for forecasting the development of investment portfolios.
Large single-family home with a garden under a blue sky.

The return on investments in real estate

The topic is the challenges and misconceptions regarding the long-term historical returns of the residential real estate asset class.
Compass on a newspaper page with financial data.

The questionability of individual stock investments

Most private investors are better off investing in stocks with funds than with investments in individual stocks.
A keychain with a pendant that looks like a house.

The risk of investing in real estate

We show that the risk of direct investments in residential real estate is comparable to the risk of globally diversified stocks.
Chart on a laptop screen.

Overvaluation of the stock market – what to do?

As is often the case, the data shows that current stock market valuations are less dramatic than portrayed.
Person relaxing in a hammock with feet outstretched, against a tropical backdrop of lush greenery and distant limestone mountains.

“Financial freedom” – a buzzword with too many question marks

In this article we show how questionable the concepts surrounding the topic of “financial freedom” are.
Person holds change and a paper with the inscription "Make a change" in his hand.

Zero interest rates and investment shortages – real or just constructed?

The usual complaints about the so-called “investment crisis” do not stand up to rational scrutiny.
Two businessmen shake hands over a desk with a laptop and documents.

Warren Buffett's hedge fund bet

At the end of 2017, Warren Buffett won a bet against hedge fund expert Ted Seides in which an index fund significantly beat a hedge fund portfolio.
Person counts banknotes.

Dividend strategies: facts and fantasies

Dividend stocks do not represent a systematically attractive risk-return combination, either theoretically or empirically.
Variety of US dollar bills laid out flat.

Currency hedging: when does it make sense and when does it not?

When and under what circumstances does currency hedging make sense and when does it not.
Person pours coffee from an enamel mug into the snow.

Distributing vs. accumulating funds

We show which distribution mode (distributing or accumulating) best suits which investor.
Scary Halloween pumpkin with glowing eyes and mouth in dark environment.

The absurd demonization of ETFs

We hear more and more often about the dangers of the growing index fund market share. We took a closer look at this market share and its implications.
Man analyzing financial charts on a paper while working at a wooden table with laptop and coffee.

The legend of the cost averaging effect

Cost averaging has no effect on returns compared to a one-off investment.

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